Liberty, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 73°
  • Light Rain
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 99%
  • Visibility: 4.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 72°
  • Pressure: 29.83 in. 0

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Next 12 Hours

7  am
10  am
1  pm
4  pm
7  pm
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
73°
81°
88°
84°
79°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Wednesday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 73 °
  • T-Storms
  • Thursday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 84 °
  • Low: 57 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Liberty, Texas

Updated: 4:00 AM CDT on October 01, 2014

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and a chance of rain, then a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 88F with a heat index of 95F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 73F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 88F with a heat index of 93F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Thursday Night

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain, then thunderstorms and rain showers after midnight. Low of 66F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the WSW after midnight. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.8 in. possible.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 81F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 55F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 77F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 55F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 84F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 57F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 82F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 61F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog early. High of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 70F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 84F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 84F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 84F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 84F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 6:43 am CDT on October 1, 2014


... Warmer with a mix of wetter and drier than normal conditions...

September 2014 ended slightly warmer than normal across southeast
Texas. Two frontal passages brought enough rainfall to help ease the
year-to-date rainfall deficits at most of the climate sites. Seven
sites even ended September with above normal monthly rainfall.
Even so... 9-month double digit rainfall deficits were still being
experienced along the coastal counties.

None of the first-order climate sites recorded a 100-degree day in
September. With the arrival of autumn on the 22nd... this means the
Summer ended without a recorded 100-degree date for all four sites
in 2014. Although hobby Airport and the city of Galveston record
more years without a 100-degree date... 1983 was the last year that
all four locations failed to reach at least 100 degrees in the
same year. The following list gives the last year without a
100-degree date for the first-order climate sites.

City of Houston... ..1997
College Station... ..2004
city of Galveston... 2013
Houston hobby... ... .2010

Very dry conditions have persisted since the beginning of the year
west of the Colorado River. For example... the second-order climate
site at Palacios has only recorded three days since January 1st with
a daily rainfall of 1 inch or more... 1.00 on March 4th... 1.06 on may
13th... and 1.29 on June 26th. The following table lists the U.S.
Drought monitor indices as of September 23rd for the NWS Houston
County warning and forecast area...


County U.S. Drought monitor index

Austin d-0 northwest border
Burleson d-0 western border
Colorado d-0 western two-thirds
Jackson d-2 far southwest and d-1 central and east
Matagorda d-0 far West
Washington d-0 far west
Wharton d-0 far west

Notes...
index intensity
d-0 abnormally dry
d-1 moderate drought
d-2 severe drought


The following is a list of some high and low extremes recorded at
the first- and second-order climate sites. Note these are the last
date of occurrence for each site. See The Table following this
list for more details.

- Warmest daily maximum temperature... 98 at cll on the 4th
- coldest daily minimum temperature... 54 at uts on the 24th
- warmest daily average temperature... 88 at gls on the 4th
                                      88 at psx on the 11th
- coolest daily average temperature... 66 at cll on the 13th
- highest daily rainfall... ... ... ... ..4.26 at cll on the 12th

The following table gives individual site temperature and rainfall
extremes for the month measured at the first- and second-order
climate stations...


                         September 2014 data

       daily Max daily min daily average temp Max rnfall
site tmp dates tmp dates Max dates min dates pcpn dates

Iah 97 11 64 24** 87 11# 71 14 2.31 18
gls 92 4 68 14 88 4 73 14 2.07 18
cll 98 10* 60 24 87 11# 66 13 4.26 12
hou 96 11 66 23** 87 11# 72 14 1.52 18
cxo 97 6 58 24 85 4# 71 13 1.42 18
uts 97 11 54 24 87 11# 68 13 0.42 18
dwh 96 11* 62 24 86 11# 72 14## 2.40 18
sgr 97 11 65 24** 87 11 73 14 2.18 19
lbx 93 8 63 23 85 10# 71 14 1.73 18
psx 93 11* 64 24 88 11 74 14 0.97 13
lvj 97 11 66 23** 87 11 72 14 1.95 17
hgx 93 11* 66 24 86 10# 72 14 2.38 18

Notes... the last date of occurrence is noted in The Table. Other
dates that tied are as follows...
* for high temperatures...
   cll - 3rd
   dwh - 10th
   psx - 3rd and 5th
   hgx - 3rd... 4th... 9th... and 10th

** for low temperatures...
   iah - 23rd
   hou - 14th
   sgr - 23rd
   lvj - 14th

# for Max daily average temperatures...
   iah - 10th
   cll - 2nd... 3rd... and 10th
   hou - 4th
   cxo - 2nd
   uts - 10th
   dwh - 2nd and 10th
   lbx - 6th
   hgx - 2nd and 4th

## for min daily average temperatures...
   dwh - 13th


The following table lists the preliminary monthly temperature and
rainfall data for the first- and second-order climate sites across
southeast Texas...


                         September 2014 data

        Ave Ave monthly Ave monthly year-to-date
site high low daily dep rain dep rain dep

Iah 89.2 72.0 80.6 +0.8 3.88 -0.24 31.77 -4.22
gls 86.2 76.9 81.6 0.0 6.11 +0.08 22.36 -14.85
cll 90.0 71.1 80.6 +0.6 6.57 +3.39 29.34 +0.64
hou 88.3 73.8 81.0 +0.9 4.99 -0.22 29.52 -10.79
cxo 89.1 68.8 78.9 +1.5 3.50 -0.34 29.95 -4.06
uts 89.6 69.6 79.6 +1.4 0.81 -2.90 27.15 -5.90
dwh 89.3 71.5 80.4 +2.4 5.42 +0.85 31.56 -5.10
sgr 89.1 73.1 81.1 +2.2 8.22 +3.70 39.15 +3.09
lbx 87.1 72.0 79.6 +1.1 6.09 +0.11 28.63 -8.63
psx 88.4 74.5 81.4 +1.4 3.53 -1.60 14.74 -18.13
lvj 88.6 73.6 81.1 +2.1 6.41 +1.51 28.05 -10.31
hgx 86.4 72.9 79.7 +1.8 9.19 +2.02 33.90 -8.03




Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Kenefick Texas,Parker Loop Area, Dayton, TX

Updated: 5:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 72.8 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: MesoWest HARDIN TX US UPR, Hardin, TX

Updated: 4:35 AM CDT

Temperature: 78 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Beautiful Downtown, Dayton, TX

Updated: 7:12 AM CDT

Temperature: 74.5 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Westlake, Dayton, TX

Updated: 7:10 AM CDT

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: White Horse Ranch, Dayton, TX

Updated: 7:04 AM CDT

Temperature: 74.5 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.55 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Devers Woods, Devers, TX

Updated: 7:12 AM CDT

Temperature: 72.5 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.57 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Fishers Landing (KC5 NAM-AT430), Mont Belvieu, TX

Updated: 7:12 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.0 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Dayton, Dayton, TX

Updated: 7:12 AM CDT

Temperature: 74.0 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 98% Wind: SSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: MesoWest HULL TX US UPR, Daisetta, TX

Updated: 5:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 76 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: MesoWest FELICA TX US UPR, Devers, TX

Updated: 5:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 76 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Pinehurst, Baytown, TX

Updated: 7:12 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.4 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Cajun Outback, Baytown, TX

Updated: 7:12 AM CDT

Temperature: 79.9 °F Dew Point: 78 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: SSE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 86 °F Graphs

Location: Katies Creek, Beach City, TX

Updated: 6:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 78.3 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.66 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Wallisville Road C617, Baytown, TX

Updated: 6:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 79.9 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Lake Shadows, Crosby, TX

Updated: 6:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.9 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Whispering Pines, Baytown, TX

Updated: 7:09 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Magnolia Trace, Kingwood, TX

Updated: 7:09 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: K5JRP, Baytown, TX

Updated: 7:11 AM CDT

Temperature: 78.5 °F Dew Point: 77 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Pines of Atascocita, Humble, TX

Updated: 7:12 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Sand Creek Village 2, Kingwood, TX

Updated: 7:12 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Chaparral Village, Baytown, TX

Updated: 7:04 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.51 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: KF5IMV-WOODSTREAM SUBDIVISION, Humble, TX

Updated: 7:11 AM CDT

Temperature: 74.3 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: North Point on Trinity Bay, Beach City, TX

Updated: 7:12 AM CDT

Temperature: 80.4 °F Dew Point: 77 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: South at 6.9 mph Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 87 °F Graphs

Location: Kingwood Glen, Atascocita, TX

Updated: 7:00 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Banana Bend, Highlands, TX

Updated: 7:10 AM CDT

Temperature: 79.1 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Roman Forest, Roman Forest, TX

Updated: 7:10 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.7 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: Woodway Forest, New Caney, TX

Updated: 7:01 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas 
649 am CDT Wednesday Oct 1 2014 


Discussion... 
12z taf discussion in aviation section. 


&& 


Aviation... 
there are a couple of aviation concerns this morning. First there 
are low stratus clouds and fog which have led to periods of 
MVFR/IFR ceilings. Look for ceilings to improve once mixing occurs after 
sun rise. This will likely happen around 15-16z today and should 
see VFR ceilings after that through the afternoon. 


Second there is still some convection possible with showers 
already impacting areas east of a khou/kiah/kcxo line. Will carry 
vcsh for a few of the Houston and surrounding terminals. Main 
moisture axis remains east through the Sabine River basin and 
several mesoscale models support rain showers/thunderstorms and rain in these areas. Think 
if any thunderstorms and rain do develop it will be east of these terminals. 


Finally look for a similar pattern for Thursday morning. Have added 
taf lines to cover ceilings in the MVFR/IFR categories with possibly a 
few showers impacting the area. Do not see quite as much fog as 
winds should be closer to 5kts overnight. 


39 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 618 am CDT Wednesday Oct 1 2014/ 


Update... 
sending out an update to include isolated probability of precipitation farther inland. 


40 


Previous discussion... /issued 347 am CDT Wednesday Oct 1 2014/ 


Discussion... 
a weak warm front was moving inland early this morning. The best 
moisture axis was just east of the forecast area over the coastal 
waters south...east...and inland of the Sabine. The main upper 
level ridge was well to the south over the southern Gulf into 
Mexico. 


The models are fairly consistent in deepening the upper level 
trough over The Rockies as it pushes into the plains later today 
through Thursday. They do differ on the strength of the trough as 
it moves into Texas Thursday afternoon and night. A consensus 
keeps the best lift...dynamics...and instability over the northern 
part of the state and the Southern Plains. However...southeast Texas should 
experience a period of rain and thunderstorms as the southern end 
of the trough and an associated cold front pushes across the 
forecast area. 


Good warm air and moisture advection will lead to isolated to 
scattered convection today into early Thursday. Widespread rain 
and thunderstorms will then occur ahead of the front Thursday 
night. The GFS and European model (ecmwf) still are consistent in pushing the cold 
front into the northwestern set of counties after midnight...and 
then off the coast around or shortly after sunrise. Isolated 
strong storms are possible with the main threat gusty winds and 
minor flooding due to locally heavy downpours. For the most part 
the models are forecasting the storms to move quickly enough to 
keep the quantitative precipitation forecast under 1 inch for the event. 


After the front moves through a couple of cool and dry autumn 
days are in store for southeast Texas. Moisture return off of the Gulf 
will begin either late Sunday or early Monday. 


40 


Marine... 
southeast winds have developed this morning as low pressure 
continues to develop in the plains. Southerly winds today and 
Thursday will support gradually building seas approaching moderate 
levels. A cold front should push off the Upper Texas coast from late 
Friday morning through the evening hours. A line of storms may be 
possible with front as it pushes offshore. Strong northeast winds 
may develop behind the front in the offshore waters Friday night into 
Saturday morning. Small craft advisories may be needed during this 
time for 20 knot winds and seas building to near 7 feet. These 
conditions should quickly weaken late Saturday as high pressure 
moves east of the area. Southeast winds may develop later on 
Sunday. 


39 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
College Station (cll) 92 76 92 68 83 / 20 10 40 70 10 
Houston (iah) 90 77 91 74 83 / 30 10 30 60 10 
Galveston (gls) 85 79 87 78 82 / 30 10 20 70 20 


&& 


Hgx watches/warnings/advisories... 
Texas...none. 
GM...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Discussion...40 
aviation/marine...39 






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