Liberty, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 63°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: ENE 5 mph
  • Humidity: 93%
  • Visibility: 7.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 61°
  • Pressure: 30.17 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

9  am
12  pm
3  pm
6  pm
9  pm
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
66°
76°
80°
78°
72°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 69 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 72 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 71 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Liberty, Texas

Updated: 7:02 AM CDT on January 22, 2015

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy early followed by scattered thunderstorms this afternoon. High 83F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. Low 69F. Winds light and variable.

  • Saturday

    Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then cloudy skies late. High 83F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly cloudy skies. Low 72F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Scattered thunderstorms. Potential for severe thunderstorms. High 79F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Sunday Night

    Thunderstorms. Potential for severe thunderstorms. Low 71F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Monday

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 79F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%. Rainfall may reach one inch.

  • Monday Night

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low near 70F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday

    Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. High 79F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Variably cloudy with scattered thunderstorms. Low near 70F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Wednesday

    Mixed clouds and sun with scattered thunderstorms. High 86F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low 72F. Winds light and variable.

  • Thursday

    Mixed clouds and sun with scattered thunderstorms. High 83F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday Night

    A few clouds from time to time. Low 73F. Winds light and variable.

  • Friday

    Scattered thunderstorms, especially in the morning. High near 85F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday Night

    Variable clouds with a slight chance of thunderstorms overnight. Low 72F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Saturday

    Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. High 86F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Saturday Night

    A few clouds. Low 72F. Winds light and variable.

  • Sunday

    Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. High 88F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Sunday Night

    Scattered clouds with the possibility of an isolated thunderstorm developing overnight. Low 73F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Monday

    Scattered thunderstorms. High 86F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Monday Night

    A few clouds. Low 73F. Winds light and variable.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Flood Warning  Statement as of 10:13 PM CDT on May 21, 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River near Moss Bluff
* until further notice... or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0930 PM Thursday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Forecast... the river will continue rising to near 14.6 feet by early Monday
morning then remain at that level through at least Tuesday. Higher levels are
possible.
* At 15.2 feet... moderate lowland flooding begins in the vicinity of the gage.


Lat... Lon 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487





                     flood observed forecast 6 PM
location stage stage day time Fri Sat sun Mon

Trinity River
Moss Bluff 12 14.2 Thu 09 PM 14.3 14.5 14.5 14.6




1013 PM CDT Thu may 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River in Liberty
* until further notice... or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0915 PM Thursday the stage was 29.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast... the river will continue rising to near 29.1 feet by early Sunday
morning then remain at that level through Tuesday.
* At 29.0 feet... major lowland flooding begins as homes in several subdivisions
above Liberty begin flooding. Extensive flooding over much of Liberty County
can be expected with each incremental rise in the river.


Lat... Lon 3027 9475 2996 9470 2996 9487 3027 9489





                     flood observed forecast 6 PM
location stage stage day time Fri Sat sun Mon

Trinity River
Liberty 26 29.0 Thu 09 PM 29.0 29.0 29.1 29.1





Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: MesoWest, Moss Hill, TX

Updated: 8:25 AM CDT

Temperature: 65 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Hardin, TX

Updated: 8:15 AM CDT

Temperature: 65 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Beautiful Downtown, Dayton, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 64.4 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Raywood, TX

Updated: 7:35 AM CDT

Temperature: 65 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Westlake, Dayton, TX

Updated: 9:27 AM CDT

Temperature: 65.2 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: RAWS, Dayton, TX

Updated: 8:07 AM CDT

Temperature: 63 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: ENE at 8 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: White Horse Ranch, Dayton, TX

Updated: 9:25 AM CDT

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: ESE at 5.8 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: West Liberty C699, Dayton, TX

Updated: 8:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 61.9 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 96% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Dayton, TX

Updated: 8:05 AM CDT

Temperature: 63 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Devers Woods, Devers, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 64.8 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Fishers Landing (KC5 NAM-AT430), Mont Belvieu, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 64.5 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Dayton, Dayton, TX

Updated: 9:24 AM CDT

Temperature: 64.4 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: ENE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Daisetta, TX

Updated: 8:25 AM CDT

Temperature: 59 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Crosby Eastgate, Crosby, TX

Updated: 9:20 AM CDT

Temperature: 64.2 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: SW at 1.7 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Devers, TX

Updated: 6:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 65 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Maley Woods, Baytown, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 66.6 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: NNE at 4.9 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Needlepoint Place, Baytown, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 66.2 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Pinehurst, Baytown, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 65.6 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Cajun Outback, Baytown, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 65.5 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: ENE at 11.0 mph Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Katies Creek, Beach City, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 67.6 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: August Hill Drive, Humble, TX

Updated: 9:25 AM CDT

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Wallisville Road C617, Baytown, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Lake Shadows, Crosby, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 64.2 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Mountain Aspen Lane, Humble, TX

Updated: 9:25 AM CDT

Temperature: 66.9 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Sheltering Oaks Lane, Humble, TX

Updated: 9:25 AM CDT

Temperature: 67.1 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.31 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Kings Point, Houston, TX

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 64.4 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: South at 5.8 mph Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Whispering Pines, Baytown, TX

Updated: 9:18 AM CDT

Temperature: 65.3 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: NE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Magnolia Trace in Kingwood, Kingwood, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 64.0 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: NNE at 3.5 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: K5JRP, Baytown, TX

Updated: 9:26 AM CDT

Temperature: 65.7 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: NNE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Highlands, Highlands, TX

Updated: 9:29 AM CDT

Temperature: 65.3 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Sand Creek Village 2, Kingwood, TX

Updated: 9:29 AM CDT

Temperature: 64.6 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: ESE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Chaparral Village, Baytown, TX

Updated: 9:17 AM CDT

Temperature: 66.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: South at 5.3 mph Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Kingwood, TX

Updated: 6:05 AM CDT

Temperature: 66 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: KF5IMV-WOODSTREAM SUBDIVISION, Humble, TX

Updated: 9:29 AM CDT

Temperature: 64.4 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: North Point on Trinity Bay, Beach City, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 66.7 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: NE at 10.7 mph Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Kingwood Glen, Atascocita, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 66.7 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: East at 4.5 mph Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Reflections, Baytown, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 66.7 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: ENE at 4.7 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Banana Bend, Highlands, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 65.3 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: NE at 2.5 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Roman Forest, Roman Forest, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 63.2 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: ENE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Lakeshore, Houston, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 65.3 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: ENE at 1.3 mph Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Kings Lake Estates, Humble, TX

Updated: 9:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 64.6 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: NNE at 2.9 mph Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas 
650 am CDT Friday may 22 2015 


Aviation... 
for the 12z tafs... varied flight conditions in place this morning 
/LIFR to VFR ceilings/ will improve to VFR by this afternoon as a 
warm front lifts north. Expect showers and thunderstorms 
to form along this feature but some uncertainty exists on 
coverage and where best heating will occur. Most likely areas for 
impacts appear to be west and southwest of the Interstate 45 
corridor this afternoon but confidence is not high enough to 
include more than vcsh/thunderstorms in the vicinity mentions at this time. As warm front lifts... 
expect easterly winds to become southeasterly and remain generally 
at or under 10 knots /with slightly higher winds at Galveston/. 
Ceilings expected to deteriorate to at least MVFR again overnight. 


Huffman 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 501 am CDT Friday may 22 2015/ 


Short term... 
today through Saturday. 


Morning surface analysis shows yesterday/S cold front draped from 
the Texas coastal Bend eastward to the Florida Panhandle... with 
an expansive surface ridge sliding into the Southern Plains. The 
cold front is expected to lift north as warm front today as the 
surface ridge shifts over eastern Continental U.S.... with the front slowly 
climbing north throughout the day /reaching the Piney Woods region 
Saturday morning/. Expect shower and thunderstorm activity today 
to primarily be concentrated along this feature with coverage 
increasing with a bit with surface heating. Convective 
temperatures are generally around 80 degrees f this afternoon and 
the main inhibitor to reaching these temperatures will be clouds 
/courtesy moisture trapped underneath a frontal inversion/. Relative humidity 
forecasts do show some low level drier air working its way over the 
area around the surface ridge... and this should allow for enough 
breaks in the clouds to allow high temperatures to reach the low 
80s. Otherwise... carrying the highest probability of precipitation over the western and 
southwestern zones where front will lift farther inland. 


Rain will taper off overnight with loss of daytime heating but 
another round of showers and thunderstorms will be possible again 
on Saturday as smaller waves ahead of the upper low overspread the 
region on Saturday. With better instability in place Saturday 
afternoon /SBCAPE values 2500-3000 j/kg/ and forecast soundings 
showing an inverted-v signature... could see a strong storm or two 
north of the Highway 59 corridor but with 0-6 km bulk shear values 
around 20 to 25 knots storms will struggle to maintain 
organization. Main threat with any activity that develops does 
appear to be heavy rainfall with precipitable water values around 
1.8 to 1.9 inches. 


Huffman 


Marine... 


Unsettled weather will prevail across the bays and coastal waters 
through Memorial Day weekend with showers and thunderstorms over 
the coastal waters providing periods of heavy rain... increased 
rip current risk with elevated onshore flow... and Small Craft 
Advisory conditions expected over parts of the weekend and into 
the next week. 


A cold front located off the Upper Texas coast as of 3 am CDT 
will lift north today as a warm front with winds becoming easterly 
in its wake... resulting in some slightly above normal tides 
before veering to the southeast by Saturday afternoon and then 
south in response to an ejecting Lee surface low over the High 
Plains. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible along 
this boundary today... with another round possible on Saturday. An 
increasing surface pressure gradient in response to the system 
over the High Plains will also result in elevated winds /20 to 25 
knots/ over the marine zones by Saturday evening... with seas 
building accordingly /reaching 7 to 8 feet/. This will create 
challenging conditions for small craft over the remainder of the 
Memorial Day weekend and mariners are advised to check current and 
forecast conditions before any Outing... as small craft advisories 
may be needed as early as Saturday evening. Additionally... 
increasing winds will also promote an increasing rip current risk 
along the Upper Texas coast. Thunderstorm chances will persist 
Sunday into Monday as a potent upper level system crosses the 
Great Plains... with a thunderstorm complex possibly crossing into 
the coastal waters late Sunday into early Monday. 


Deteriorated conditions are expected to persist through the remainder 
of the weekend... with some improvement possible in the Tuesday/Wednesday 
timeframe as wind speeds decrease as the gradient relaxes. 


Huffman 


Long term... 
Saturday night through Thursday. 


An active heavy rain period lies ahead. Saturday night a 4 
corners low will be drifting through Colorado as south-southwest flow aloft 
strengthens across southeast Texas. An impressive divergence signature sets 
up overhead with a short wave moving into the region. This should bring a 
round of heavy rain to the region. Low level jet strengthens for Sunday and 
fast training storms look likely across the area. Severe threat 
may also be on the increase for Sunday as well with impressive ll 
shear. Periods of heavy rain spread across the region Sunday night 
and Monday. The ingredients of unusually high precipitable water 
(1.9-2.1")/k-index values of 32-38/cape of 1800-3000j/kg during 
the daylight hours/srh 120-220 all present Saturday night through 
Tuesday. The potential for an extended period of heavy rain and 
flooding is on tap primarily from around 3 am Sunday beginning in 
the west then shifting and expanding east across the entire region 
Sunday by late in the morning and on through Monday night. A 
Flash Flood Watch will be needed as we get closer to the event and 
mainstem flooding also a threat with the wet ground and the 
already elevated river levels. Significant aviation impacts will 
be on tap from Texas up through Arkansas into MO and possibly even 
Chicago for this event. 


The rains and intensity should taper down late Tuesday as the 
upper trough lifts out and upper ridging tries to take hold across 
Mexico/TX. Rains may become more diurnal in nature on Wednesday 
needing the daytime heating and continuing through Thursday. For 
what it is Worth next weekend also looks wet but not with such a 
potent system. The European model (ecmwf) also trying to develop a tropical system 
in the east Pacific for at least 2 runs in a row. 


45 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
College Station (cll) 78 71 83 71 79 / 30 20 50 30 90 
Houston (iah) 82 72 84 74 82 / 30 20 40 20 90 
Galveston (gls) 80 77 81 78 82 / 40 30 30 20 60 


&& 


Hgx watches/warnings/advisories... 
Texas...none. 
GM...small craft should exercise caution until 10 am CDT this morning 
for the following zones: Galveston Bay...waters from High 
Island to Freeport 20 to 60 nm...waters from High Island to 
Freeport out 20 nm. 


&& 


$$ 


Discussion...99 
aviation/marine...14 






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