Updated: 10:12 PM CDT on April 29, 2016
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Locally heavy rainfall possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy until late night then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then showers and thunderstorms likely after midnight. Lows around 70. East winds 10 to 15 mph in the evening becoming northeast and decreasing to around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of rain 40 percent in the evening increasing to 60 percent after midnight.
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Showers and thunderstorms likely in the evening... then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.
Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through Sunday morning...
The Flash Flood Watch continues for
* a portion of southeast Texas... including the following
Austin... Brazos... Burleson... Colorado... Fort ... Bend...
Grimes... Harris... Houston... Madison... Montgomery... Polk... San
Jacinto... Trinity... Walker... Waller... Washington and Wharton.
* Through Sunday morning
Unusually moist tropical air will continue to flow into the area
this afternoon and overnight. Storms will develop to the north
and west of the region this afternoon then expand into the
region overnight. The ground is saturated and any rainfall will
rapidly convert to runoff. These storms will be capable of
intense rainfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour. These storms
may become anchored in an east to west band with storms moving
north north colliding with the boundary and probably
intensifying rain rates. Where the boundary sets up is still
difficult to pinpoint but probably in the zone between the
Interstate 10 corridor and College Station and Huntsville.
Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches should be widespread over the
watch area with localized amounts of 7 to 10 inches. Street
flooding may become widespread in the watch area and travel
overnight should be reconsidered. Rivers and streams across the
watch area may quickly flood with the heavy rainfall. Stay
informed on the weather overnight.
The rains should gradually move out of the region Saturday
afternoon. More storms may form Sunday and then another system
arrives Monday and Tuesday bringing more rainfall.
* Streets... bayous... streams and rivers will likely have the
greatest impacts from the heavy rainfall. Motorists and persons
with outdoor activities should stay ado not drive your vehicle
into areas where the water covers the roadway. The water depth
may be too great to allow your car to cross safely. Vehicles
caught in rising water should be abandoned quickly. If your
vehicle stalls... abandon it and seek higher ground immediately.
Rapidly rising water may engulf your vehicle and its occupants
and sweep them away. Move to higher ground.Breast of the latest
forecasts and have contingency plans in place when the heavy
rain arrives late this afternoon and tonight.
A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: FM1160, Louise, TX
Updated: 10:07 PM CDT
|Temperature: 77.0 °F||Dew Point: 76 °F||Humidity: 96%||Wind: SSE at 9.0 mph||Pressure: 29.50 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 78 °F||Graphs|
Location: Danevang, Bay City, TX
Updated: 10:11 PM CDT
|Temperature: 77.9 °F||Dew Point: 75 °F||Humidity: 91%||Wind: SE at 14.8 mph||Pressure: 29.60 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 80 °F||Graphs|
Location: Ganado North CR 263, Ganado, TX
Updated: 10:17 PM CDT
|Temperature: 78.1 °F||Dew Point: 76 °F||Humidity: 93%||Wind: SE at 2.9 mph||Pressure: 29.64 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 81 °F||Graphs|
Location: Ganado Fire Sta., Ganado, TX
Updated: 10:17 PM CDT
|Temperature: 78.1 °F||Dew Point: 74 °F||Humidity: 89%||Wind: ESE at 10.1 mph||Pressure: 29.63 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 81 °F||Graphs|
Location: K5HAS Lake Texana, Edna, TX
Updated: 10:17 PM CDT
|Temperature: 77.7 °F||Dew Point: 72 °F||Humidity: 82%||Wind: SSE at 8.1 mph||Pressure: 29.62 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 80 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas 843 PM CDT Friday Apr 29 2016 Update... may have dodged the bullet with the first round across most of southeastern Texas as diurnal storms failed to sustain themselves with limited convergence/upper support and modest capping in place. Eyes will turn to the west as we monitor the strong/severe storms over central Texas along surface trough and dry line as this activity continues east overnight. Could still see a few showers ahead of this activity...but most of our rain potential tonight may now be tied to broken line moving into our area after 06z. Abundant moisture remains anchored over southeastern Texas with axis of 1.5-2" precipitable waters in place so potential for heavy rain remains early Saturday morning...although /fortunately/ overall totals may be less than earlier thought. Regardless will keep Flash Flood Watch in place given the amount of moisture/instability remaining and the possibility of high rainfall rates and saturated soils. Scenario will be complicated moving through tomorrow depending on effects from early morning activity. If these storms push through as an organized mesoscale convective system...wind damage would remain a possibility overnight. This could then work-over air mass enough to reduce thunderstorm potential in its wake for much of the day. However if this activity weakens and or leaves a boundary across the region...we could see increased thunderstorm/heavy rain potential tomorrow. Have updated forecast grids to account for above mentioned scenario...bumping back probability of precipitation/quantitative precipitation forecast a bit overnight. Evans && Previous discussion... /issued 637 PM CDT Friday Apr 29 2016/ Aviation... low to moderate confidence forecast. Moisture axis from Matagorda Bay to kcll to Madison County should slowly move eastward through the night. Showers and thunderstorms were developing within the moist axis. Model solutions differed...however there was enough consensus between the GFS/nam12/rap13 to try and time the event tonight and Saturday. Terminals were based on the nam12 and rap13 and the previous package. 40 && Preliminary point temps/pops... College Station (cll) 72 84 69 82 66 / 90 50 40 50 50 Houston (iah) 73 82 71 82 70 / 80 60 40 50 60 Galveston (gls) 75 80 74 80 73 / 60 60 30 40 60 && Hgx watches/warnings/advisories... Texas...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for the following zones: Austin...Brazoria...Brazos...Burleson...Chambers... Colorado...Fort Bend...Galveston...Grimes...Harris... Houston...Liberty...Madison...Montgomery...Polk...San Jacinto...Trinity...Walker...Waller...Washington...Wharton. Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 PM CDT Saturday for the following zones: Brazoria...Chambers...Galveston. GM...small craft should exercise caution until 6 am CDT Saturday for the following zones: Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay...waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 nm... waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 nm. Small Craft Advisory until 6 am CDT Saturday for the following zones: waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel 20 nm to 60 nm...waters from High Island to Freeport 20 to 60 nm. && $$