Updated: 3:27 PM CST on February 8, 2016
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph in the evening decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s.
Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s.
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Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas 552 PM CST Monday Feb 8 2016 Aviation... VFR. Strong gusty winds should diminish quickly between 00-02z to 6-10kts. Winds again tomorrow morning from the northwest but in the afternoon should relax a little and may vary more in direction. 45 && Previous discussion... /issued 252 PM CST Monday Feb 8 2016/ .Critical fire weather conditions to persist through early evening... Discussion... incredibly dry air over southeast Texas (conroe surface dew pt of 4 degrees at 2 pm) coupled with strong gusty winds has created dangerous fire weather conditions today. Will maintain the red flag warning through 7 PM but winds should begin to decouple after 00z and feel the threat should begin to diminish this evening. Although sustained winds will probably fall below 25 miles per hour before 00z...am a little nervous that wind gusts to 35 miles per hour will persist so am going to let the Wind Advisory continue through 6 PM. The dry air in place will allow surface temperatures to cool into low/middle 30s tonight. Maximum temperatures on Tuesday will be similar to today with a ridge of high pressure extending from Canada into northern Mexico. Dry air will remain in place but the fire weather threat looks more benign as lighter winds prevail. The high shifts east Tuesday night and low pressure should begin to develop over the western High Plains. This will allow for onshore winds and a return to warmer temperatures Wed-Fri. Upper level ridging over the desert SW will flatten a bit as a shortwave over the central rockies moves east on Friday night. Another cold front will cross the state early Saturday morning and am not completely convinced the front will clear southeast Texas as pressures over the Texas Panhandle begin to fall early Sunday. The GFS/European model (ecmwf) both develop a surface low over central Texas Sunday afternoon and move it east Sunday night into Monday. They differ with the strength of the surface feature and the sharpness of a middle level shortwave. The European model (ecmwf) is stronger with both features and generates a pretty good shot of rain while the GFS is weaker and drier. Chance probability of precipitation are already in the forecast and will leave things as they are until the GFS/European model (ecmwf) converge on a solution. 43 Marine... the Small Craft Advisory will be in effect for all waters through 6 PM CST...low water advisory is in effect through midnight and may need to be extended into Tuesday. Bay and nearshore advisory conditions are expected to fall to caution criteria shortly after sunset with nearshore winds staying around 15 knots past sunrise/local Bay winds to fall to between 10-15 kts overnight. Offshore winds are expected to stay at advisory levels through a good part of Tuesday morning. Western high pressure moving in over waters and then exiting east at middle week will weaken these north winds through late Tuesday over offshore locations...allow a light to occasionally moderate southwest wind pattern to become dominant during the late week period. There may be times that thursday's offshore west-southwesterly winds reach caution levels Thursday. 31 Fire weather... a very dry air mass in the wake of this morning's cold frontal passage has lowered dew points into the single digits...relative humidities in the teens. Superimpose a regionally strong north wind field and this is what will keep the red flag warning in place through this afternoon. If not before today...fuels are becoming well cured and this has exacerbated the potential for the development and rapid spread of wildfire. Winds will come down tonight but...under a continued offshore breeze...relative humidities will remain low during the subsequent afternoon hours. Not much relief in sight over the coming days as humidities stay low per the slow development of late week southwesterlies that will reach moderate near 15 miles per hour magnitudes during times of 40 percent or under relative humidities. 31 && Preliminary point temps/pops... College Station (cll) 34 61 40 68 44 / 0 0 0 0 0 Houston (iah) 36 61 41 68 46 / 0 0 0 0 0 Galveston (gls) 42 58 48 63 54 / 0 0 0 0 0 && Hgx watches/warnings/advisories... Texas... Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for the following zones: Austin...Brazoria...Brazos...Burleson...Chambers... Colorado...Fort Bend...Galveston...Grimes...Harris... Houston...Jackson...Liberty...Madison...Matagorda... Montgomery...Polk...San Jacinto...Trinity...Walker... Waller...Washington...Wharton. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for the following zones: Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay. Small craft should exercise caution until midnight CST tonight for the following zones: Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay. Low water advisory until midnight CST tonight for the following zones: Galveston Bay. Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST tonight for the following zones: waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 nm...waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 nm. Small craft should exercise caution from midnight CST tonight through Tuesday morning for the following zones: waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 nm... waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 nm. Small Craft Advisory until 9 am CST Tuesday for the following zones: waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel 20 nm to 60 nm...waters from High Island to Freeport 20 to 60 nm. && $$ Discussion...41 aviation/marine...45