Cleveland, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 74°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 98%
  • Visibility: 4.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 73°
  • Pressure: 30.01 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Overcast
Overcast
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
72°
71°
74°
81°
84°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 69 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • T-Storms
  • Sunday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 65 °
  • T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 85 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 67 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Cleveland, Texas

Updated: 10:03 PM CDT on January 28, 2015

  • Friday

    Cloudy early. Scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. High 86F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms mainly before midnight. Low 69F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday

    Scattered thunderstorms in the morning becoming more widespread in the afternoon. High 83F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Saturday Night

    Partial cloudiness early, with scattered showers and thunderstorms later during the night. Low 66F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Sunday

    Thunderstorms. High 83F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Sunday Night

    A few clouds. Low near 65F. Winds light and variable.

  • Monday

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially early in the day. High near 85F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday Night

    A few clouds from time to time. Low 66F. Winds light and variable.

  • Tuesday

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 86F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Tuesday Night

    A few clouds. Low 67F. Winds light and variable.

  • Wednesday

    Variable clouds with thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. High 86F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Some clouds early will give way to generally clear conditions overnight. Low 69F. Winds light and variable.

  • Thursday

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 87F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday Night

    Some clouds and possibly an isolated thunderstorm after midnight. Low 69F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy in the morning. Thunderstorms developing later in the day. High 89F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low 69F. Winds light and variable.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy in the morning followed by scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 89F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy with an isolated thunderstorm possible after midnight. Low 71F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Sunday

    Sunny skies during the morning hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms developing in the afternoon. High 89F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms during the evening, then partly cloudy overnight. Low 72F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Flood Warning  Statement as of 10:04 PM CDT on May 28, 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River in Liberty
* until further notice... or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0915 PM Thursday the stage was 29.6 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast... the river will continue rising to near 30 feet by Saturday
morning then begin falling.
* At 29.0 feet... major lowland flooding begins as homes in several subdivisions
above Liberty begin flooding. Extensive flooding over much of Liberty County
can be expected with each incremental rise in the river.


Lat... Lon 3027 9475 2996 9470 2996 9487 3027 9489





                     flood observed forecast 6 PM
location stage stage day time Fri Sat sun Mon

Trinity River
Liberty 26 29.6 Thu 09 PM 29.7 29.8 29.8 29.7




1004 PM CDT Thu may 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River near Goodrich
* until further notice... or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0845 PM Thursday the stage was 39.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 36.0 feet.
* Forecast... the river will remain fairly steady near 39 feet as Lake Livingston continues
to discharge 72,600 cfs.


Lat... Lon 3062 9503 3061 9495 3053 9477 3053 9489 3055 9503





                     flood observed forecast 6 PM
location stage stage day time Fri Sat sun Mon

Trinity River
Goodrich 36 39.2 Thu 09 PM 39.2 39.1 39.2 39.3




1004 PM CDT Thu may 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
the Menard creek near Rye
* until Friday morning... or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0815 PM Thursday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast... the river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early
tomorrow.
* At 20.0 feet... minor lowland flooding begins as water escapes the Main Channel
in the vicinity of the gage..


lat... Lon 3056 9464 3042 9472 3044 9483 3053 9486 3049 9475 3056 9475





                     flood observed forecast 6 PM
location stage stage day time Fri Sat sun Mon

Menard creek
Rye 20 20.5 Thu 08 PM 19.4 17.1 16.0 15.2




1004 PM CDT Thu may 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River near Moss Bluff
* until further notice... or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0930 PM Thursday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Forecast... the river will continue a slow ride to near 15 feet for the
next 5 to 7 days as Lake Livingston continues to pass inflows.
* At 15.2 feet... moderate lowland flooding begins in the vicinity of the gage.


Lat... Lon 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487





                     flood observed forecast 6 PM
location stage stage day time Fri Sat sun Mon

Trinity River
Moss Bluff 12 14.6 Thu 09 PM 14.8 15.0 15.2 15.2




834 PM CDT Thu may 28 2015

... Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening... the Flood Warning continues
for
the East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney
* from Friday evening to Saturday evening... or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0800 PM Thursday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast... the river will crest near flood stage... 19.4 feet... by Saturday morning
and then fall below flood stage by Saturday afternoon.
* At 19.0 feet... minor lowland flooding begins in the vicinity of the gage.


Lat... Lon 3024 9515 3024 9504 3007 9510 3007 9520 3014 9517





                     flood observed forecast 6 PM
location stage stage day time Fri Sat sun Mon

East Fork San Jacinto river
New Caney 19 16.3 Thu 08 PM 18.9 18.3 14.9 11.0





Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Splendora - Cleveland, Splendora - Cleveland, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 74.9 °F Dew Point: -11 °F Humidity: 3% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS, Coldspring, TX

Updated: 12:02 AM CDT

Temperature: 74 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: ESE at 1 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: Peach Creek Plantation, Cleveland, TX

Updated: 12:56 AM CDT

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Woodway Forest, New Caney, TX

Updated: 12:47 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.7 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Whitetail Crossing, New Caney, TX

Updated: 12:56 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.5 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: ND5T Northcrest Ranch, New Caney, TX

Updated: 12:55 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.9 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Brook Forest, New Caney, TX

Updated: 12:55 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.7 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: RAWS, Dayton, TX

Updated: 12:07 AM CDT

Temperature: 76 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: SSE at 4 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Oak Forrest Estates, Conroe, TX

Updated: 12:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Moss Hill, TX

Updated: 10:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 79 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: West Liberty C699, Dayton, TX

Updated: 12:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.2 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 96% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: White Horse Ranch, Dayton, TX

Updated: 12:47 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: SE at 3.2 mph Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Cut and Shoot, Cut and Shoot, TX

Updated: 12:55 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.54 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Barn Rd, Conroe, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.0 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Crystal Creek Estates, Conroe, TX

Updated: 12:47 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Magnolia Trace in Kingwood, Kingwood, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.7 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Kings Point, Houston, TX

Updated: 12:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: ESE at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Cumberland Crossing, Porter, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Mountain Aspen Lane, Humble, TX

Updated: 12:55 AM CDT

Temperature: 79.2 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: August Hill Drive, Humble, TX

Updated: 12:55 AM CDT

Temperature: 77.9 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Sand Creek Village 2, Kingwood, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.6 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Beautiful Downtown, Dayton, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Hunters Ridge, Kingwood, TX

Updated: 12:56 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.7 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Lakeview Estates - Puddin Creek Cove, COLDSPRING, TX

Updated: 12:55 AM CDT

Temperature: 74.5 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Hunters Ridge Northpark, Houston, TX

Updated: 12:56 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Sheltering Oaks Lane, Humble, TX

Updated: 12:55 AM CDT

Temperature: 79.2 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: GLOVER'S, Livingston, TX

Updated: 12:56 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: N5SUA Hunters Ridge, Houston, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.5 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Maple Park Drive, Houston, TX

Updated: 12:56 AM CDT

Temperature: 79.2 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Hardin, TX

Updated: 11:05 PM CDT

Temperature: 78 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: FM1988_Tempe Creek, Livingston, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.0 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Kings Forest, Kingwood, TX

Updated: 12:54 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.4 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Dayton, Dayton, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.6 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Riverwalk, Porter, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 77.7 °F Dew Point: 78 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.56 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Bear Branch, Humble, TX

Updated: 12:46 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: NNW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Cape Royale, Coldspring, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.7 °F Dew Point: 15 °F Humidity: 10% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: South Woodland Hills, Houston, TX

Updated: 12:48 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.9 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Wolf Creek Air Cond., Coldspring, TX

Updated: 12:57 AM CDT

Temperature: 74.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Cape Royale - Imperial Point, Coldspring, TX

Updated: 12:55 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.5 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: SE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Batson, Texas, Batson, TX

Updated: 12:56 AM CDT

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.65 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas 
1145 PM CDT Thursday may 28 2015 


Discussion... 
please see 06z aviation discussion... 


&& 


Aviation... 
a line of strong/severe thunderstorms will cross the area from 
west to east tomorrow morning between 09z and 15z. At this time I 
am predicting gusts to 35 knots with this line. These wind 
estimates could be adjusted upward if the line accelerates. 
Another question is how much rain will fall behind the front. At 
this time I expect conditions will improve fairly rapidly behind 
the line...however more generalized convection is likely again in 
the afternoon. For the most part...most terminals should be VFR 
after 16z. Winds on Friday will be southerly at 10 to 15 knots. 44 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 918 PM CDT Thursday may 28 2015/ 


Discussion... 
at 9 PM...a solid line of strong/severe thunderstorms off to our northwest 
continues to March toward the east and southeast. This line should weaken 
as it approaches our north and northwest counties after midnight...but 
it could still be capable of dumping some brief heavy rainfall across 
parts of southeast Texas as it tries to make progress toward the coast. 
Due to its current speed and expected weakening trend...will hold off 
on issuing a Flash Flood Watch with the expectation of rainfall totals 
peaking under one inch. If the complex does not make it off the coast... 
we could be setting the stage for possible training activity somewhere 
in our area late tonight and on into tomorrow resulting in several inches 
of rain and an increasing flood threat due to the saturated grounds. 
For the update...went ahead and raised everyone's rain chances a good 
10% to 20% for the overnight hours resulting in likely probability of precipitation northwest 
and chance probability of precipitation at the coast. Future forecast updates are going to depend 
how everything unfolds over the next several hours. 42 


Previous discussion... /issued 714 PM CDT Thursday may 28 2015/ 


Discussion... 
please see 00z aviation discussion... 


Aviation... 
VFR conditions over night...with a layer of MVFR ceilings likely to 
form just before sunrise. Big question is whether or not the 
convection currently in West Texas makes it to southeast Texas on 
Tuesday morning as suggested by subsequent hrrr model runs. I 
added prob30 thunderstorms and rain groups for kcll and kuts between 10 and 15z in 
deference to the hrrr. If the thunderstorms continue to hold 
together after sunset and additional mesoscale models support the 
hrrr solution...I may have to more aggressively bring in morning 
rain showers/thunderstorms and rain in the Houston metropolitan area during the 03z taf update. 


On Friday...VFR conditions should prevail after 15z. Similar to 
today the Houston metropolitan terminals may experience some isolated to widely 
scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. 44 


Previous discussion... /issued 406 PM CDT Thursday may 28 2015/ 


Discussion... 
before we talk about all the upcoming thunderstorm chances for the 
weekend...Houston iah did reach 90f today which is the first time 
hitting 90 degrees in 2015. The last time Houston iah had a 90 
degree day was October 10 2014. Average 1st day of 90 degrees at 
Houston iah is around may 7. 


Hopefully everyone enjoyed some break in the rainfall. This 
weekend looks to be another wet weekend with probably 2 periods of 
when heavy rainfall could occur. Current water vapor imagery shows 
2 upper level troughs...one moving through the S rockies and West Texas 
which should impact the area tomorrow and a second trough moving 
through the north rockies which will support thunderstorm activity 
late Sat into sun. 


We are also monitoring thunderstorm activity in West Texas which may 
form into a squall line. Last few runs of the hrrr continue to 
hold this line of storms together and have it reaching western 
portions of southeast Texas after midnight. It looks like this activity may 
weaken before reaching Houston but still something to monitor. 
Should it hold together...strong winds and small hail will be a 
threat along with heavy rainfall. Given the uncertainty a Flash 
Flood Watch will not be issued as is the case in c Texas and North Texas. 


Models still have the influence of the upper trough over southeast Texas 
tomorrow. Aloft there should be at least some cooling with large 
scale ascent and diffluence in the the jet to support broad lift. 
Day time heating allowing for temperatures in the middle/upper 80s should 
again support convective initiation. Precipitation water values should be 
around 1.6-1.8 inches with a swath of 1.8 inch precipitable water from College 
Station to Lufkin. This seems to be the more likely area for heavy 
rainfall although there is not a boundary to focus convection. 
Mesoscale interactions will be a Big Key for further convective 
development tomorrow. Model soundings do indicate weak capping 
along the coast with the cap weakest north of Houston. Oriented 50 
probability of precipitation for Houston northward based on capping and lower precipitation 
water along the coast. 


More favorable set up for heavy rainfall looks to be late Saturday 
into Sunday. By 00z sun models are in pretty good agreement with 
upper level trough axis dropping into the S plains. A cold front 
with this system also pushes into Texas and looks to stall across the 
area overnight. The front may make some slow progress southward 
and off the coast later on Sunday. Upper level winds will be weak 
and diffluent during this time. The front will likely focus 
thunderstorm activity late Sat afternoon going into the overnight. 
Precipitation water values look to be closer to 1.8 inches area wide. 
Missing from this set up is a strong low level jet off the Gulf but still 
think given forcing from the front...venting aloft with diffluence 
and high moisture will support thunderstorm activity capable of 
heavy rainfall. Storms capable of 1-2 inches an hour rainrates can 
not be ruled out and with slow storm motions...high rainfall 
totals can be achieved. We will be watching this time frame for a 
Flash Flood Watch. Any storms of these storms could produce over 3 
inches of rain very quickly which will cause flooding problems. 


With the front slowly moving off the coast...more storms may be 
expected Sunday. Expect there to be some break in convection 
during the morning but could see more activity along the coast 
with day time heating. Trough axis aloft will still be over the 
area as the upper trough begins to slowly close off from the main 
flow. Drier air may filter into the region late Sunday into Monday 
behind the front. While we wish we could end thunderstorm 
chances...main problem is that upper low closes off Monday into Tuesday 
over Louisiana. European model (ecmwf) takes this low a bit farther east. It is 
still possible that southeast Texas will be on the back side of the trough 
and subsidence may limit activity. Despite that models still 
continue to develop precipitation and convection with day time heating. 
Possibly by Wednesday/Thursday next week we will get a break from 
thunderstorm chances. 


Marine... 
the slight tightening of the pressure gradient tonight (in response 
to the first of a series of upper level disturbances from the west) 
will help to increase winds a bit tonight. At this time not expect- 
ing much more than marginal scec conditions overnight...but another 
system late Friday/early Sat could be strong enough for scec flags for 
that timeframe. Models still calling for a weak cold front to stall 
over southeast Texas Sunday...and its proximity may briefly back winds to the 
east at that time. Otherwise...the very weak pressure gradient will 
produce light onshore winds into next Mon/tues. 41 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
College Station (cll) 72 85 70 83 67 / 60 50 20 60 50 
Houston (iah) 72 86 71 85 69 / 40 50 20 60 60 
Galveston (gls) 77 85 76 84 74 / 30 30 20 30 40 


&& 


Hgx watches/warnings/advisories... 
Texas...none. 
GM...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Discussion...42 
aviation/marine...44 



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