Cocoa, Florida Weather Conditions

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Coastal Hazard Statement View All Alerts

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Current Conditions

  • 72°
  • Light Drizzle
  • Wind: East 17 mph
  • Humidity: 82%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 66°
  • Pressure: 30.27 in. 0

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10  am
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4  pm
7  pm
10  pm
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Rain Showers
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73°
77°
70°
63°
72°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Rain Showers
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Rain Showers
  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 72 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 59 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Chance of Rain

Forecast for Cocoa, Florida

Updated: 10:00 AM EST on November 22, 2014

High rip current risk in effect through this evening...
  • Saturday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 15 to 20 mph shifting to the South in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday Night

    Overcast with rain showers. Low of 66F. Breezy. Winds from the SSE at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 79F. Breezy. Winds from the SSE at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 72F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain, then a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 81F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain, then a chance of a thunderstorm and rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NNW after midnight. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 73F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 59F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.6 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 63F. Windy. Winds from the NNW at 25 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 1.1 in. possible.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 45F. Windy. Winds from the North at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 68F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 15 to 25 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 48F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 61F. Winds from the NNE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 52F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 66F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 55F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 72F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 73F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog early. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Coastal Hazard Statement  Statement as of 5:13 am EST on November 22, 2014


... Rip current risk in effect through this evening...

The National Weather Service in Melbourne has issued a rip
current risk... which is in effect through this evening.

* Timing... rough surf and numerous strong rip current are expected
the entire day. The greatest threat for rip currents will be from
10:30 am through about 430 PM.

* Impacts... strong onshore winds will produce large breaking waves
of about 5 to 6 feet in the surf zone today. Numerous strong
rip currents will also occur. Minor beach erosion is possible
around the times of high tide at around 730 am this morning and
again at about 730 PM this evening.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

There is a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore... which occur most often at low spots or breaks in The
Sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as jetties and
piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards and the beach patrol. Pay
attention to flags and posted signs.

If you become caught in a rip current... do not panic. Remain calm
and begin to swim parallel to shore. Once you are away from the
force of the rip current... begin to swim back to the beach. Do
not attempt to swim directly against a rip current. Even a strong
swimmer can become exhausted quickly.

With the surf being rough today... large breaking waves could knock
you off your feet and make you more susceptible to becoming caught
in a rip current. Entering the surf above your knees will be
dangerous today.






Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Indian River Club, Rockledge, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 70.5 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: ENE at 10.0 mph Pressure: 30.27 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: Parkchester, Cocoa, FL

Updated: 8:48 AM EST

Temperature: 70.6 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cocoa Woods, Cocoa, FL

Updated: 8:47 AM EST

Temperature: 70.7 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Green Acres W Rockledge, Rockledge, FL

Updated: 8:55 AM EST

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: ESE at 2.2 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Waterway Manor, Merritt Island, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 70.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: East at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sunset Lakes, Merritt Island, FL

Updated: 8:58 AM EST

Temperature: 71.3 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: ESE at 6.0 mph Pressure: 30.27 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Chelsea Park, Rockledge, FL

Updated: 8:47 AM EST

Temperature: 69.9 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: North at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Pelican Creek, Merritt Island, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 71.3 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: ENE at 10.0 mph Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: River Grove, Merritt Island, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 70.1 °F Dew Point: -14 °F Humidity: 3% Wind: ESE at 13.8 mph Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Summers Creek, Merritt Island, FL

Updated: 8:56 AM EST

Temperature: 70.7 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: Island Crossings, Merritt Island, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 69.8 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 33% Wind: ENE at 7.0 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Plantation Point, Rockledge, FL

Updated: 8:46 AM EST

Temperature: 71.1 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: NNE at 9.9 mph Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Viera Golf Club East, Rockledge, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 70.0 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.52 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Rockledge FL US, Cocoa, FL

Updated: 8:13 AM EST

Temperature: 72 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: East at 2 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Covina St, Port St John, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 71.2 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: East at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Arequipa Road, Cocoa, FL

Updated: 8:33 AM EST

Temperature: 72.0 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: NE at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.29 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Beachwatch, Cocoa Beach, FL

Updated: 8:56 AM EST

Temperature: 72.3 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: East at 9.0 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Crane Creek, Melbourne, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Magnolia Springs, Viera East, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 71.1 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: ENE at 5.8 mph Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Jasmine Ave, Port St John, Port St. John, FL

Updated: 8:47 AM EST

Temperature: 71.4 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: ESE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Hartman St., Port St. John, Cocoa, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 71.5 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: West Port Saint John, Cocoa, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 71.4 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.27 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cypress Woods Community (MAS), Cocoa, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 72.3 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: East at 2.9 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Viera, Melbourne, FL

Updated: 8:48 AM EST

Temperature: 69.9 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Wickham Lakes, Melbourne, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 70.3 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: SE at 6.0 mph Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sawgrass Key, Suntree, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 72.5 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: ENE at 8.0 mph Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: East Winds, Titusville, FL

Updated: 8:55 AM EST

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.31 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Windover Farms, Melbourne, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 70.7 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: NE at 2.1 mph Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Imperial Estates, Titusville, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 71.1 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: ESE at 2.4 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Windover Farms, Melbourne, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 71.5 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: East at 8.0 mph Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.03 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: South Patrick Shores, Satellite Beach, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 71.7 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: East at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Chestnut Run, FL

Updated: 8:55 AM EST

Temperature: 69.9 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: ESE at 6.0 mph Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Baymeadows, Melbourne, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 71.2 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: South at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Satellite Beach, Satellite Beach, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: ESE at 11.0 mph Pressure: 30.30 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Park village -17, Melbourne, FL

Updated: 8:55 AM EST

Temperature: 70.5 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: South at 4.2 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: LongWood, Melbourne, FL

Updated: 9:00 AM EST

Temperature: 70.3 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: East at 8.1 mph Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
445 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

...ROUGH BOATING/BEACH CONDITIONS WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES...

CURRENT...
LARGE/STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE MIDDLE ATLC 
REGION CONTINUES TO PRODUCE STOUT ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS ECFL AND THE 
ADJCT ATLC. OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS QSTNRY TO OUR SOUTH...OVER 
THE FL STRAITS. A WEAK MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE GOMEX 
ACROSS THE CTRL PENINSULA IS SLOWLY LIFTING NWD. RAOB/PROFILER DATA 
SHOW SWRLY FLOW AOA 6-7KFT PRODUCING WAA/ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND 
EXTENSIVE MID LEVEL CLOUDS...ALONG WITH PASSING SPRINKLES OF LIGHT 
RAIN. THERE REMAINS SOME RESIDUAL DRY AIR ABOVE H60 AND BELOW H80... 
WITH HIGH MEAN RH VALUES IN BETWEEN.

TODAY/TONIGHT...
THE LARGE SURFACE HIGH TO THE NORTH WILL SHIFT EAST AND OFFSHORE 
INTO THE ATLC OVER THE NEXT H24 AS THE BASE OF A MID LEVEL SHORT 
WAVE TROUGH UPSTREAM MOVES OVER THE NERN GOMEX/GULF COAST...WITH 
SOME MID LEVEL VORTICITY REACHING THE BIG BEND AREA. COMBINATION OF 
THESE TWO FEATURES WILL CAUSE GRADUAL VEERING OF WINDS IN THE 
SFC-H85 FROM ENE-E TO SE AND S...WITH BACKING OF THE H70-H50 FLOW 
FROM WSW TO SW. THIS WILL CAUSE THE OLD BOUNDARY TO LIFT BACK NWD AS 
A WARM FRONT....ADVECTING THE HIGHER MEAN PWAT AIR MASS LURKING TO 
OUR SOUTH BACK NWD ACROSS OUR AREA. EXPECT ALREADY CLOUDY SKIES TO 
REMAIN SO...THICKENING IN THE PROCESS. AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN WITH 
EMBEDDED MODERATE TO HEAVIER SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP...WITH SOME BANDED 
MARINE ACTIVITY ALSO LIKELY TO FACTOR INTO THE SENSIBLE WX ALONG THE 
SPACE/TREASURE COASTS BY THIS AFTERNOON. BEST LIFT AND BETTER RAIN 
CHANCES WILL LIFT NWD WITH THE FRONT...REACHING NORTH FL BY SUNDAY 
MORNING.

OVERALL...CONDITIONS LOOK CLOUDY/DAMP BUT WARM. NOT A HUGE DIURNAL 
RANGE GIVEN THE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER. MAXES GENERALLY IN THE M-U70S 
WITH LOWS IN THE U60S-L70S.

SUN-MON...
AN UNSETTLED WX PD TO START THE UPCOMING WEEK. THE LARGE HI PRES 
RIDGE BLANKETING THE ERN CONUS WILL PUSH INTO THE ATLC AS A DVLPG 
STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PAC NW DRIFTS ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER. THE 
H30-H20 JET PATTERN OVER THE ERN PAC IS ALMOST PERFECTLY ZONAL... 
WITH A 150KT MAX THAT WILL SERVE TO STRENGTHEN THE NEW SFC LOW AS IT 
CROSSES THE CANADIAN ROCKIES. THE JET STREAK WILL AMPLIFY AS PUSHES 
INTO THE PAC NW...BUT EXISTING ZONAL FLOW WILL PUSH THE STORM SYSTEM 
TOO FAR TO THE EAST TOO QUICKLY FOR IT TO DROP MUCH BELOW THE NRN 
PLAINS BEFORE IT GETS CAUGHT UP BY THE LIFTING SIDE OF THE UPR LVL 
SHORT WAVE AND BOMBS OUT OVER THE GREAT LAKES BY DAYBREAK MON. BY 
THEN...THE AFOREMENTIONED HI PRES RIDGE WILL HAVE ANCHORED ITSELF 
OVER THE W ATLC...WHERE IT WILL DEFLECT THE STORM SYSTEM INTO ERN 
CANADA BY DAYBREAK TUE. THE SRN EXTENT OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT 
WILL BE LEFT TO ITS OWN MOMENTUM FOR FORWARD PROGRESS...WHICH WILL 
BE SLOW GIVEN THE POSITION OF THE ATLC RIDGE.   

H100-H70 WINDS WILL VEER TO THE S/SW THRU THE DAY ON SUN AS THE 
RIDGE BUILDS OFFSHORE...WHILE AN H85-H50 ANTICYCLONE OVER THE NRN 
BAHAMAS WILL MAINTAIN AN EXISTING W/SW FLOW THRU THE MID LYRS. THIS 
WILL RESULT IN STRONG LOW/MID LVL ISENTROPIC LIFT IN THE PRESENCE OF 
LOW LVL MOISTURE ADVECTION. MID LVL MOISTURE...HOWEVER...WILL BE ON 
THE WANE AS LATEST RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS H85-H50 MEAN RH VALUES 
DECREASING FROM 60-70PCT OVER CENTRAL/SOUTH FL...TO BLO 50PCT OVER 
THE NW CARIB. 

THE COMBINATION OF LOW LVL MOISTURE AND MID LVL DRY AIR WILL SET THE 
STAGE FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT THRU MON...ESPECIALLY AS THE STORM SYSTEM 
DVLPS AND TRIES TO CRANK A NEW COLD FRONT THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH. 
HOWEVER...PROGRESS OF THE FRONT WILL BE SLOW AS THE ATLC RIDGE 
BLOCKS ITS ADVANCE WHILE THE THE STORM SYSTEM LIFTS INTO CANADA AND 
ABANDONS THE SRN EXTENT OF ITS TROF. A BRISK S/SW BREEZE WILL 
PREVAIL THRU THE H100-H70...ADDING WARM AIR ADVECTION TO THE 
PICTURE. ONE MAJOR FACTOR THAT WILL WORK AGAINST A STRONG/SVR WX 
EVENT WILL BE THE THERMAL PROFILE. THE -10C H50 ISOTHERM IS 
CURRENTLY LOCATED N OF THE I-4 CORRIDOR AND WILL ONLY LIFT FURTHER 
NORTH IN THE FACE OF THE MID LVL SWRLY FLOW. H70-H50 LAPSE RATES 
OVER THE CENTRAL GOMEX ARE RUNNING A RESPECTABLE 6.5-7.0C/KM...BUT A 
PALTRY AOB 5C/KM THRU THE H85-H70 LYR. 

WILL OPT FOR CHC/LIKELY SHRAS AND A SLGT CHC OF TSTMS ON SUN... 
HIGHEST OVER THE NRN CWA DUE TO A DEEPER MOISTURE PROFILE. POPS 
DECREASING TO CHC/SLGT CHC SUN NIGHT AS DRIER AIR AND THE LOSS OF 
DIURNAL HEATING SHOULD CHOKE OFF MOST OF ANY STORM ACTIVITY. AS THE 
FRONT STALLS OVER THE FL BIG BEND/ERN PANHANDLE...THE DEEPEST 
MOISTURE WILL POOL TO THE N...WHILE MID/UPR LVL DEBRIS CLOUDS 
DISTURB SFC HEATING/LOW LVL DESTABILIZATION. POPS WILL RANGE FROM 
40PCT FROM SRN LAKE/ORANGE/NRN BREVARD NWD...TO 20PCT N/E FROM LAKE 
OKEECHOBEE. SRLY FLOW WILL PUSH TEMPS WELL ABV AVG...MAXES INTO THE 
L/M80S AND MIN IN THE M/U60S.

TUE-FRI...
WET WX PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THRU MID WEEK AS THE UPR LVL JET 
PATTERN BECOMES HIGHLY AMPLIFIED ACRS THE CONUS. JET ENERGY OVER THE 
W PAC IS PLENTIFUL WITH H25 WINDS ARND 150KTS ENCROACHING ON THE 
OREGON COAST. AS THIS JET DIGS INTO THE NW CONUS AND ITS ENERGY IS 
TRANSLATED DOWNSTREAM...THE LIFTING JET OVER THE ERN CONUS WILL 
STRENGTHEN CONSIDERABLY...THE 00Z GFS MODEL SUGGESTING MAX SPEEDS 
ARND 200KTS DVLPG OVER NEW ENGLAND LATE TUE NIGHT WITH THE 150KT 
ISOTACH TRAILING INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. THE STRONG UPR LVL DIVERGENCE 
GENERATED BY THIS JET WILL INDUCE A NEW AREA OF LOW PRESSURE N OF 
THE BAHAMA BANK DAYBREAK WED ALONG OR JUST AHEAD OF THE STALLED 
FRONTAL BNDRY. 

AS THE LOW DLVPS AND LIFTS UP THE ERN SEABOARD...IT WILL DRAG THE 
FRONT CLEAR OF THE STATE...ALLOWING A DRY WX PD TO PREVAIL THRU THE 
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE 22/00Z ECMWF INDICATES THIS HAPPENING 
BY 00Z THU...22/00Z GFS ABOUT 12HRS SLOWER. WITH THE FRONT SAGGING 
INTO CENTRAL FL ON TUE...WILL NEED TO PAINT THE AREA WITH LKLY POPS. 
POPS DIMINISHING FROM THE W ON WED BUT REMAINING BTWN 30-50PCT... 
20-30PCT...LINGERING ALONG THE COAST/LAKE OKEECHOBEE THRU WED NIGHT. 
DRY WX FCST THU-FRI. 

TUE TEMPS WILL REFLECT THE POSITION OF THE FRONT...MAXES RANGING 
FROM THE L70S N OF I-4 TO THE L80S E OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...MINS FROM 
THE L50S TO L60S RESPECTIVELY. COOL/DRY AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE 
FRONT WILL DROP MAX TEMPS INTO THE 60S AREAWIDE ON WED...MINS INTO 
THE L40S-L50S WED NIGHT. LITTLE TEMP CHANGE EXPECTED THRU FRI AS A 
SLOW MOVING HI PRES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL MAINTAIN A STEADY N/NW 
FLOW. 

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WITH CIGS OVC-BKN040-060 MLB-SUA AND OVC080-110 KTIX-KMCO NWD. 
CIGS WILL LOWER/THICKEN WITH MVFR CONDS DEVELOPING/SPREADING NWD 
FROM SUA-FPR. EVENTUALLY EXPECT TO SEE SOME IFR TO LOW END MVFR CIGS 
BKN-OVC007-015 BECOME PREVALENT STARTING IN THE 22Z-02Z TIME FRAME.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY/TONIGHT...THE STRONG HIGH TO THE NORTH WILL MAINTAIN THE TIGHT 
LOCAL PGRAD WITH WINDS 20-25KT AND SEAS ALREADY A SOLID 7-9FT ACROSS
THE ENTIRETY OF THE MAOR. WNAWAVE GUIDANCE IS UNDERDOING CURRENT 
CONDITIONS BY A GOOD 1-2FT...AND THE NWPS LOOKS MUCH CLOSER TO 
REALITY. SEAS UP TO 8FT NEAR SHORE AND 10FT OFFSHORE. HEIGHT OF THE 
BREAKERS IN THE SURF ZONE LOOK TO BE A LITTLE SHORT OF HIGH SURF ADV 
CRITERIA...NEVERTHELESS LARGE BREAKING WAVES/HIGH SEAS WILL PRODUCE
VERY HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT...AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING/ 
SURF FOR BEACH GOERS...WITH NUMEROUS STRONG RIPS AND POSSIBLE MINOR 
EROSION AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIMES.

SUN-MON...UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS TO START THE WEEK AS A MODERATE TO 
FRESH S/SE BREEZE CONTINUES THRU THE DAY ON SUN...SEAS 5-7FT 
NEARSHORE AND 8-10FT OFFSHORE. SFC/BNDRY LYR WINDS BCMG GENTLE TO 
MODERATE S/SW ON MON AS A COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE FL PANHANDLE... 
SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3-4FT NEARSHORE AND 5-7FT OFFSHORE. 

TUE-TUE NIGHT...COLD FRONT WILL SAG INTO CENTRAL FL...RESULTING IN 
VRBL WINDS ACRS THE LCL ATLC...S/SE 10-15KTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT... 
N/NW 5-10KTS BEHIND IT. WINDS WILL FRESHEN OUT OF THE N/NW AFT 
SUNSET AS A WEAK LOW PRES SYSTEM DVLPS N OF THE BAHAMAS...MODERATE 
TO FRESH N OF SEBASTIAN INLET...GENTLE TO MODERATE S OF THE INLET. 
SEAS 3-5FT N OF THE INLET AND 2-4FT S OF THE INLET THRU THE 
DAY...BUILDING TO 5-7FT N OF THE INLET AND 3-5FT S OF THE INLET AFT 
SUNSET.   

WED-WED NIGHT...FRESH TO STRONG NW BREEZE WILL DVLP SHORTLY AFT 
SUNRISE AS THE LOW PRES SYSTEM LIFTS N AND DRAGS THE COLD FRONT THRU 
THE ATLC WATERS. SEAS BUILDING TO 6-8FT NEARSHORE AND 7-9FT OFFSHORE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  73  69  81  68 /  50  60  60  40 
MCO  76  67  83  68 /  50  60  60  40 
MLB  76  73  82  70 /  50  50  50  30 
VRB  77  74  82  70 /  50  50  50  30 
LEE  75  66  83  68 /  50  60  60  40 
SFB  75  67  83  67 /  50  60  60  40 
ORL  76  68  83  68 /  50  60  60  40 
FPR  78  74  82  70 /  50  50  40  30 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS 
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO 
     SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO 
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS 
     FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 
     20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...CRISTALDI
LONG TERM/IMPACT WX...BRAGAW





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