Weather

457 
fxus64 koun 292005 
afdoun 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK 
305 PM CDT Friday Aug 29 2008 


Discussion...showers and thunderstorms continue to increase 
across the area this afternoon. Storms have become more numerous 
near the weak surface boundary from west central into central OK 
..along outflow boundary moving through north central OK...And in 
SW OK/North Texas where plume of deeper moisture has spread in advance of 
system over northern Mexico. Expect storms to continue into the evening 
before dissipating with the loss of heating. Storms may be more 
long lived in western OK overnight where a moderate low level jet 
may interact with the weak surface frontal boundary. Focus may 
shift more to southwestern portions of the forecast area for Saturday as surface 
drifts southward. Break in the action expected Sunday into early part of 
next week with weak upper ridge over the area and no surface 
boundary evident. Focus late in the week then shifts to possible 
impact of Gustav on the area. Model differ in handling remnants of 
Gustav after it makes landfall. European model (ecmwf) brings remnants further west 
than the GFS and this track would have more of an impact on the 
County Warning Area...especially the eastern half. For now will now will go with more of a 
compromise forecast with the track of the system. This will point to higher 
probability of precipitation in the Wednesday/Thursday time frame...especially for the eastern half of the 
forecast area. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Oklahoma City OK 70 93 71 92 / 30 20 10 10 
Hobart OK 70 92 70 93 / 40 20 20 10 
Wichita Falls Texas 72 95 72 95 / 30 20 20 10 
gage OK 64 90 65 90 / 40 20 10 10 
Ponca City OK 69 90 70 90 / 20 10 10 10 
Durant OK 71 94 71 92 / 20 20 20 10 


&& 


Oun watches/warnings/advisories... 
OK...none. 
Texas...none. 
&& 


$$ 


26/02