Weather

968 
fxus61 Kiln 101940 
afdiln 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wilmington Ohio 
340 PM EDT Friday Oct 10 2008 


Synopsis... 
high pressure will extend across the region through Monday. 


&& 


Near term /until 6 am Saturday morning/... 
high pressure centered to the northeast of the region will keep 
light easterly flow across the area overnight. Some cirrus will 
move over the area but it should be thin and of little 
consequence. Expect temperatures to be several degrees warmer than 
last night. Stayed within a few degrees of MOS consensus. 


&& 


Short term /6 am Saturday morning through Sunday night/... 
upper level high will be centered over the region through the 
period. Surface ridge off to the northeast will drop south 
allowing low level flow to veer with time. Atmosphere will remain 
quite dry with little to no cloud cover. Expect fairly large 
diurnal ranges in temperatures with little variation in readings 
from day to day. Lows will be around 10 degrees above normal with 
highs between 10 and 15 degrees above normal. 


&& 


Long term /Monday through Friday/... 
high pressure and 500 mb ridging will slowly move east Monday...keeping 
dry conditions and well above normal temperatures across the area. 


The GFS is trending slower as well...but the European model (ecmwf) is still slower 
than the GFS with a cold front approaching from the west next middle 
week. Quite a bit of difference exists. In terms of sensible 
weather...the European model (ecmwf) does not even have the precipitation onset until late 
Wednesday with the GFS having already pushed the front through. At 
this point will carry low chance probability of precipitation Tuesday night into Wednesday. 


As one might expect...the European model (ecmwf) and GFS diverge further Thursday 
into Friday. In general...will favor the European model (ecmwf) with low/slight 
chance probability of precipitation again. Temperatures should be seasonable. 


&& 


Aviation /19z Friday through Wednesday/... 
high pressure will remain in control of the weather through the taf 
period. Will likely see some valley fog develop once again later 
tonight and with favorable easterly gradient...will allow for LIFR 
visibility restrictions at kluk later tonight into early Saturday 
morning. Otherwise...just expect some scattered cirrus across the 
area. 


Outlook...no significant weather is expected. 


&& 


Iln watches/warnings/advisories... 
Ohio...none. 
Kentucky...none. 
In...none. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis... 
near term... 
short term... 
long term... 
aviation...jgl