Weather

004 
fxus63 kict 070806 
afdict 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas 
306 am CDT sun Sep 7 2008 


Discussion... 


Today: 


Rather difficult forecast with respectable baroclinic zone across 
southern edge of forecast area which should lift north during the 
day. However upper flow becomes confluent which limits amount of 
lift. With all the short range models in agreement with basic 
scenerio...am expecting precipitation to start to wane after 1200 
UTC. Would not be surprised to see this setup lead to extensive 
low clouds and drizzle rather than precipitation. Model consensus 
also suggest a bit of thinning/clearing across the far south 
during the day. Temperatures today will be highly influenced by 
clouds and trended warmer near the OK border. Will keep dense fog 
advisory going with visibility at sln still at 1/4sm. 


Tonight: 


Chances of precipitation should increase during the night across 
central Kansas where best baroclincity will be located. 


Mon: 


Front will keep higher probability of precipitation across northwest 
half of forecast area...while temperatures should climb ahead of 
the front in southeast Kansas. Latest North American model was a bit 
faster with frontal passage and have went along with this faster 
timing. Precipitation is mainly expected in the vicinity of front 
so will trim back on probability of precipitation in far southeast 
Kansas where front is not expected until late. 


Tue: 


With drier air over area...unseasonalbly cool minimums are expected 
for much of the area. Temperatures should rebound nicely however 
during the day with fairly abundant sunshine. 


Wednesday-Sat: 


Little change to going forecast. -Howerton 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Wichita-kict 73 62 78 55 / 40 30 40 20 
Hutchinson 72 61 75 49 / 30 40 40 10 
Newton 71 60 76 49 / 30 40 40 20 
Eldorado 73 61 79 51 / 30 40 40 20 
Winfield-kwld 76 64 82 55 / 40 20 30 20 
Russell 67 57 65 44 / 20 60 40 10 
Great Bend 67 57 66 46 / 30 50 40 10 
Salina 70 60 71 47 / 20 50 40 10 
McPherson 72 60 73 48 / 30 50 40 10 
Coffeyville 77 63 84 54 / 30 20 20 30 
Chanute 73 62 81 54 / 30 30 20 30 
Iola 73 61 80 54 / 30 40 20 30 
Parsons-kppf 75 63 85 55 / 30 30 20 30 


&& 


Ict watches/warnings/advisories... 
dense fog advisory until 9 am CDT this morning for ksz032-033- 
048-049. 


&& 


$$