Weather

673 
fxus64 klzk 111943 
afdlzk 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas 
238 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2008 


Short term...tonight through Tuesday night 
an abundance of cumulus clouds developed today across Arkansas as a 
short wave moved into Arkansas from the east. The morning klzk 
sounding shows a strong cap near 6k feet however. This kept the 
vertical extent in check. Temperatures have warmed with a southeast 
wind through the afternoon. 


In the upper levels...high pressure is over much of the eastern U.S. 
With a strong low over the west. Between the two systems...moisture 
will be driven into the U.S. From Hurricane Norbert in the Pacific. 
The low will move into Canada Monday and the high pressure aloft 
will remain strong through Tuesday. 


High pressure and subsidence will keep dry weather over Arkansas 
through Monday. A cold front will move into the plains Monday and 
into Arkansas Tuesday. This will allow moisture to funnel in ahead 
of the front. Some of the moisture will be from Hurricane 
Norbert...caught up in the northeast flow. Will start precipitation 
chances in the west Monday night and spread them east. Above 
normal temperatures are expected through the period. 
&& 


Long term...Wednesday through Saturday night 
front will move into the area by Wednesday...slowly making its way 
southward as the upper ridge anchored over the Gulf Coast sinks to 
the south. Precipitation chances will gradually subside as the front moves 
out of the state on Thursday. Upper trough building over the central 
Continental U.S. Will send high pressure into the region on northwesterly flow 
aloft. Not expecting much of a cooldown behind the system 
though...as the Gulf Coast ridge re-exerts itself...and the surface 
high moves to the southeast and southerly flow returns. 
&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Batesville Arkansas 61 80 62 79 / 10 10 10 10 
Camden Arkansas 63 83 64 83 / 0 10 10 10 
Harrison Arkansas 61 79 61 79 / 10 10 10 10 
Hot Springs Arkansas 63 83 63 81 / 0 10 10 10 
Little Rock Arkansas 63 82 63 81 / 0 10 10 10 
Monticello Arkansas 63 83 63 83 / 0 10 10 10 
Mount Ida Arkansas 63 83 63 81 / 0 10 10 10 
Mountain Home Arkansas 61 79 61 79 / 10 10 10 10 
Newport Arkansas 62 81 63 80 / 10 10 10 10 
Pine Bluff Arkansas 63 83 63 82 / 0 10 10 10 
Russellville Arkansas 62 81 62 79 / 10 10 10 10 
Searcy Arkansas 62 81 63 80 / 10 10 10 10 
Stuttgart Arkansas 63 83 63 82 / 0 10 10 10 
&& 


Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...51 / long term...57